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Gulfstream Park Picks: Betting a PICK 3 like a PRO
SUNDAY, APRIL 26, 2020
by: Rich Bieglmeier
As you can imagine, we get a ton of questions regarding "how to bet?"
First, we cover a lot of ground, more than you will find in most handicapping books authored by "experts" in our Wagering Guide. It is a 70-page resource of how to handicap, bet and more. The extensive Wagering Guide is available to all PRO Monthly Subscribers.
The Wagering Guide is worth more than the cost of the monthly subscription, never mind the horse Guaranteed racing tips we are known for. Here is what one of our users says about the valuable horse racing knowledge found in the Wagering Guide.
"Your betting guide is one of the best I have ever read. I have read all or parts of about 20 books on horse race betting and yours is one of the best common sense and simplest to understand. You should print it as a book and sell it on Amazon!"
As you'll see, using the "secrets" of horseplaying pros can greatly increase the bang for your buck on winning tickets. Let's apply a PICK 3 strategy you'll find in the Wagering Guide using Saturday's Gulfstream Park picks as an example of how $4 more could triple a winning payout.
We will use our selections for races 10, 11, 12 since the last two include Best Bets.
Gulfstream Park's race 10 is a claiming $35,000, non-winners of three lifetime races. A field of eight will run 1 1/16 miles on turf.
Our top four picks include:
10 – Vegas Kitten (ML 3-1)
Gulfstream Park race 11 is an Optional Claiming $75,000 race. Here are our selections.
4 – Spinoff (ML 7/2) BEST BET
5 - Global Campaign (ML 6-1)
Gulfstream Park race 12 is a Maiden Claiming $12,500, and our selections.
9 – Annualized (ML 2-1) BEST BET
8 - With a Bit of Luck (ML 8-1)
6 - Gangster of Love (ML 15-1)
For our example, we will use the all four picks in race 10, three picks in race 11 and two in race 12 for a total out of pocket of $48. (4 picks X 3 picks X 2 picks = 24 combinations times $2 for our bet = $48). If one of our selections from each race wins, the result would be one winning PICK 3 ticket.
Now check this out. If we restructure the PICK 3 differently, the cost will go up by $4, but could result in three winning tickets instead of one. Instead of lumping all our picks together, we'll single our top pick for each race and create three tickets instead of one.
The first ticket would look like this:
The top pick from race 10 (#4 Stock Trade), the top three picks in race 11, and the top two in race 12 for a cost of $12. (1 x 3 x 2 x $2)
The second ticket:
Take the top four picks in race 10, the top choice in race 11 (#4 Spinoff), which happens to be a BEST BET, and the top two picks in race 12. The cost on a $2 bet is $16. (4 x 1 x 2 x $2)
The third ticket:
The top four picks in race 10, the top three picks in race 11, and the top choice and BEST BET in race 12 (#9 Annualized). The cost of $2 bet is $24. (4 x 3 x 1 x $2).
The total cost of the three PICK 3 bets is $52 ($12 + $$16 + $24) and $4 more than the all-inclusive version of the Gulfstream Park PICK 3 for races 10, 11 and 12.
Using the spread-out version, if the top pick wins all three races, you'll have three winning PICK 3 tickets.
If the top pick wins two of the three races and you have the winner in the other leg, that's a pair of winning PICK 3 tickets.
If the top pick wins one race and you have the winner in the other two legs, then it is a single winning PICK 3 tickets.
The downside is that none of the top picks come home first, but the winner comes from our PICK 3 selections. For example, the second pick wins all three races. Then the all-inclusive ticket would be a winner while the spread-out tickets would all be losers. That is the tradeoff.
Here's how you might decide on which approach to take. If you have high confidence that you have a winner in any of the PICK 3 races, then use the spread-out version. If you aren't confident in any horse, then use the all-inclusive approach.
Hopefully, this insight of how PROs approach betting PICK 3 wagers will help you cash more tickets, starting with our Gulfstream Park Picks!
Have a question for Rich Bieglmeier? Email him at email@example.com.
Good luck at the races!
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